prof | Let's Play Umineko Chiru, Episode 8 Scene 10: The Halloween Party

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Sorry to keep you two waiting. So, did you think up some incredibly hard ones for us?

We decided to give you one puzzle together.

My, my, even one puzzle from this pair sounds challenging.

It's a special puzzle we made just for Ange, so good luck.

I'll solve it. I'll definitely solve it!

Two of these are traps! The other has a medal inside.

Ange, do you think you can guess which one has the medal inside?

Can't do it without a hint. That's just luck!

That's right. So far, this is just a test of luck with three choices. In other words, your odds of winning are one in three.

George. This isn't a quiz, right? It really is just a test of luck.

The puzzle comes later. Let's move ahead.

Okay, Ange. Which of these has a medal inside, do you think? Just say the first one that pops into your head.

Then... this one.

The red box? Then let's set this box right in front of you. Wouldn't it be great if there was a medal inside? So, let's start with a little warm-up. What's the probability of the medal being inside that red box?

One in three.

That's right. If this really is a simple test of luck.

Are you happy with the red box? The medal might be in the blue box or the green box. Do you want to change your mind?

I'm happy with the red box. I'll bet on it!

Ange, are you sure you want the red box? Something really scary might come flying out, right? Are you sure you don't want to switch to the blue box?

I'm not scared! I'll stick with the red box!

Hahaha, you're going a bit overboard, Jessica. So, now one of the boxes is gone, and there's only two left. This is where the puzzle starts, Ange.

You mean, which box is the medal in?

Eva's Hint

A: The red box has higher probability
B: They're both the same
C: The blue box has higher probability

BGM: Eternity

What?

Looks like the quiz tournament is almost over.

Yeah. There's only Battler and Beatrice left. I'm starting to get sleepy.

Sleepy?

...Yeah. If I had a sofa, I'd probably fall asleep.

I see... Then I guess it's almost time for this party to end.

Was our puzzle just now a hard one?

Yeah. I still don't really get it. And... I'm sleepy...

It's called posterior probability. That's what we call it when the probability of something changes because we learn or fail to learn some sort of information. So, if we have one almond in ten slices of cake, our chances of getting it are 10%. But what if we learn that those ten slices were chosen at random from a hundred slices?

You'd think that the probability went from one in 10 to one in 100, right?

Absolutely nothing has changed about your slice of cake. Depending on whether you know or don't know a certain fact, the probability of your slice being a winner changes. Doesn't that sound strange?

That sounds hard, so I don't wanna think about it...

Ange. Please, just listen until the end.

There's only one thing I want to tell you, so please, don't forget this.

What?

The truth is always right there in your hands, Ange. Don't you think it's stupid to let it change around just because you hear someone else's words? Just because you hear what they think the truth should be?

The truth inside of you has been in your hands from the beginning... and the nature of that truth is something you decide for yourself. You change it yourself depending on what you hear, and what you refuse to listen to.

You probably don't get what we're saying, but you have to understand. Even if you can't understand when you're six years old, I'm sure you will once 12 years have passed.

The truth that lies in your hands is not unchangeable. You'll be interfered with in many ways that'll make it change. So, if the truth you hold in your hands is really important to you...

You need to protect it yourself. Don't forget it.

...

BGM: Hope

How was it? Did you enjoy tonight's party?

Yeah. It was fun. But I think I'm a bit sleepy.

That's no surprise, considering how much we've been running around.

I've got a special puzzle just for you, but are you sure you want it? If you're sleepy, you can stop now.

No. I've come this far, so I'll keep going...

Looks like it's time to call it a day...

Yes. Ange. Let us leave my puzzle for later. It's too difficult to be solved by one with eyes as sleep as that.

...No way... I've... come this far, and... I also want... Battler's medal...

As Ange falls asleep, Beato calls for quiet.

That's up to her, isn't it? Hopefully, some day, she can remember this as a fun night.

Kinzo is content to be remembered as a cruel despot, as long as his granddaughter sometimes remembers how much he adored her, too.

Some things can only be understood from a great distance. Ange must understand - she's the only one left to remember them.

The rest have all retreated to the far side of the curtain.

The party wasn't just for Ange, who wanted to see her family. It was also for the family that wanted to see her, one last time.

Eva swears to make sure that Ange will always have the opportunity to find happiness.

The sleeping Ange looks like her namesake, but she's not an angel. She's the last witch of Rokkenjima.

A painful life lies ahead of her, but surely she will be able to endure. After all, she has her family watching over her.

And surely this tale will help her understand.

The Ushiromiya family is a strange family, surrounded by strange rumors. However, only Ange can decide whether or not to believe them.

The people here, at this party, cannot heal the wounds born by the Ange 12 years from now.

But there's one thing they can still do...

This is an illusion. Ange can not return to the Rokkenjima of 1986.

Nobody can say whether or not Battler's words reach her.

A tragic fate awaits, where Ange and Eva hurt each other badly, but neither of them are at fault. Both were already in pain, and they pushed that pain onto each other.